According to The Kobeissi Letter, U.S. bond yields are on the rise regardless of President Trump's tariff policy decisions—whether tariffs are raised, cut, or held steady, yields increase due to inflation, growth expectations, or Fed rate policy respectively (Source: The Kobeissi Letter, May 12, 2025). This persistent upward pressure on yields signals potential volatility for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, as traders may rotate funds out of digital assets and into higher-yielding traditional markets. Crypto market participants should closely monitor U.S. bond market developments, as sustained yield increases can weigh on Bitcoin and altcoin prices amid shifting risk sentiment.

According to AltcoinGordon, significant capital remains sidelined in the crypto market as of May 2025, indicating that investors are waiting for clearer entry signals before committing funds (source: AltcoinGordon on Twitter, May 11, 2025). This observation suggests that overall market liquidity is lower than in previous bull cycles, potentially reducing short-term volatility but also setting the stage for rapid price moves once sidelined capital re-enters. Traders should monitor on-chain stablecoin inflows and exchange balances to gauge when this sidelined capital may become active, as these indicators often precede major rallies or corrections.